AFTS-FSIS · Live Signals · aberration surveillance

live · register week — scan — advisory --:--:-- UTC

AFTS-FSIS · corpus · this week——

—records

Top signal · ledger

Binomial lattice · the share-channel test, simulatedevery ball is one week drawn under H₀ · the bins are the exact null · the edge is the tail

stratum under test · click to switch

exact Binomial(N, π̂) pmfrejection region · P[X ≥ k] ≤ αballs landed (empirical)observed this week

law of large numbers · the empirical tail converges to the exact p · the test does not need the simulation, the reader does

Stratum lattice · the sparsity ladder as a graph

node class

elevated / watch above baseline mean normal · scorable ≥ 2σ below sparse · not tested · rolled up hub · global pathogen / tier

records by level · this week

a stratum is tested at the finest level whose baseline averages ≥ 1 / week with ≥ 3 non-zero weeks · otherwise its records roll up the dashed edge

Weekly pulse · corpus volumelive

baseline to beat · μ (7 wk, 2-wk guard)

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this week

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Signal review agent · what the count channel cannot test

novelty channel · all-zero baseline

outbreak channel · Outbreak = 1 records

news corroboration · NEWS sheet

EARS C2 · every scorable stratum(x − μ) / σ

Share-channel test · observed vs baseline shareexact binomial · one-sided · α 0.01

Alarm feed · this week · false-discovery controlled

Small multiples · the 8 strata furthest from baselineband μ ± σ · shaded baseline window · hatched guard

Watchboard · every stratum with a scorable baseline

Walk-forward ledger · scored only with weeks strictly before

Methodpipeline/signal_detector.py